Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.795496 1.954254 2.123108 2.316485 2.532330 2.766417 3.040265
2026-02-01 1.523387 1.734192 1.971372 2.259514 2.602127 2.999000 3.497168
2026-02-08 1.354062 1.591969 1.870799 2.224684 2.666094 3.204152 3.918367
2026-02-15 1.237604 1.492883 1.802030 2.208626 2.736284 3.407716 4.342881
2026-02-22 1.172758 1.447137 1.789239 2.253875 2.879117 3.707137 4.914102
2026-03-01 1.095685 1.377575 1.737641 2.240045 2.937257 3.892909 5.342577
2026-03-08 1.022599 1.306589 1.677008 2.206192 2.960840 4.027555 5.705356
2026-03-15 0.945255 1.224139 1.594338 2.133862 2.921348 4.064440 5.920180
2026-03-22 0.905306 1.189161 1.573020 2.144482 2.999708 4.277502 6.425494
2026-03-29 0.877914 1.169267 1.570502 2.180525 3.116523 4.556311 7.064367
2026-04-05 0.850006 1.146608 1.561990 2.205995 3.217543 4.817108 7.700512
2026-04-12 0.821361 1.121002 1.547189 2.220053 3.300355 5.053825 8.319993
2026-04-19 0.789964 1.090408 1.524200 2.221327 3.364997 5.270114 8.937766
2026-04-26 0.747965 1.042109 1.472118 2.173447 3.345031 5.339976 9.290591
2026-05-03 0.713405 1.003097 1.431806 2.141310 3.348117 5.448855 9.729967
2026-05-10 0.685674 0.972956 1.403339 2.126178 3.378352 5.607753 10.287711
2026-05-17 0.673604 0.965980 1.410257 2.169357 3.512900 5.969763 11.313930
2026-05-24 0.649659 0.939450 1.384783 2.156175 3.545228 6.140887 11.954021
2026-05-31 0.623189 0.907788 1.349489 2.123894 3.539897 6.237666 12.440899
2026-06-07 0.590690 0.865316 1.294807 2.054900 3.461438 6.182213 12.570314
2026-06-14 0.576346 0.851143 1.285634 2.065032 3.532446 6.434549 13.460931
2026-06-21 0.567570 0.845477 1.290099 2.099414 3.652140 6.798628 14.681491
2026-06-28 0.557286 0.836874 1.289132 2.123707 3.753621 7.133947 15.886204